Joel Embiid has averaged 29.7 points per game in 6 games against Nikola Jokic since 2018-19, 0.4 points below his usual 30.1 in those seasons.
Fair odds = the price where this hit rate breaks even, with no bookmaker margin. A better price than this is value, if the sample holds.
| Date | Opp | Result | Jokic P-R-A | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 24 | vs DEN | W 126-121 | 25-19-3 | 39 | 41 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13-22 | 3-6 | 12-15 |
| 28 Jan 23 | vs DEN | W 126-119 | 24-8-9 | 38 | 47 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18-31 | 4-7 | 7-10 |
| 14 Mar 22 | vs DEN | L 110-114 | 22-13-8 | 36 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11-20 | 3-3 | 9-10 |
| 10 Dec 19 | vs DEN | 15-7-11 | 31 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 6-7 | |
| 8 Nov 19 | @ DEN | 26-10-6 | 28 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 5-7 | |
| 8 Feb 19 | vs DEN | 27-10-10 | 33 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4-17 | 0-5 | 7-8 | |
| Average | 6 games | 2-1 | 23.2-11.2-7.8 | 34.2 | 29.7 | 11.8 | 4.7 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 48.0% | 42.9% | 80.7% |
| Embiid | Embiid usual | +/- | Jokic | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 252 | 6 | |
| Team record | 2-1 (3 of 6) | 133-68 (201 of 252) | 1-2 (3 of 6) | |
| Points | 29.7 | 30.1 | −0.4 | 23.2 |
| Rebounds | 11.8 | 11.2 | +0.6 | 11.2 |
| Assists | 4.7 | 4.1 | +0.6 | 7.8 |
| Threes | 2 | 1.2 | +0.8 | 1.2 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.0 | +0.2 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 1.8 | 1.6 | +0.3 | 1.3 |
| Turnovers | 5 | 3.4 | +1.6 | 3.8 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 46.2 | 45.4 | +0.8 | 42.2 |
| FG% | 48.0% | 51.0% | −3.0 | 52.4% |
| 3P% | 42.9% | 33.2% | +9.7 | 28.0% |
| Minutes | 34.2 | 34.0 | 36 |
A game counts when both played, on opposite teams. Regular season and playoffs since 2018-19.
Regular season and playoff games from official box scores. Season-long numbers are regular season unless you ask for the playoffs.