Nikola Jokic has averaged 23.2 points per game in 6 games against Joel Embiid since 2018-19, 2.0 points below his usual 25.2 in those seasons.
Fair odds = the price where this hit rate breaks even, with no bookmaker margin. A better price than this is value, if the sample holds.
| Date | Opp | Result | Embiid P-R-A | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 24 | @ PHI | L 121-126 | 41-7-10 | 38 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11-20 | 0-2 | 3-4 |
| 28 Jan 23 | @ PHI | L 119-126 | 47-18-5 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 |
| 14 Mar 22 | @ PHI | W 114-110 | 34-9-4 | 34 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 5-7 |
| 10 Dec 19 | @ PHI | 22-10-6 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | |
| 8 Nov 19 | vs PHI | 19-15-2 | 38 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 4-5 | |
| 8 Feb 19 | @ PHI | 15-12-1 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11-22 | 1-5 | 4-4 | |
| Average | 6 games | 1-2 | 29.7-11.8-4.7 | 36 | 23.2 | 11.2 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 52.4% | 28.0% | 84.6% |
| Jokic | Jokic usual | +/- | Embiid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 327 | 6 | |
| Team record | 1-2 (3 of 6) | 176-87 (263 of 327) | 2-1 (3 of 6) | |
| Points | 23.2 | 25.2 | −2.0 | 29.7 |
| Rebounds | 11.2 | 12.3 | −1.1 | 11.8 |
| Assists | 7.8 | 8.5 | −0.7 | 4.7 |
| Threes | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.8 | +0.6 | 1.8 |
| Turnovers | 3.8 | 3.3 | +0.5 | 5 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 42.2 | 46.0 | −3.8 | 46.2 |
| FG% | 52.4% | 57.3% | −4.9 | 48.0% |
| 3P% | 28.0% | 34.6% | −6.6 | 42.9% |
| Minutes | 36 | 34.1 | 34.2 |
A game counts when both played, on opposite teams. Regular season and playoffs since 2018-19.
Regular season and playoff games from official box scores. Season-long numbers are regular season unless you ask for the playoffs.