NBAHOUSE

Model projections

Thursday 25 December 2025

Both models' numbers for every player, the official one highlighted, next to the line and the final result.

PlayerOpp PointsReboundsAssists
LineV1V2FinalLineV1V2FinalLineV1V2Final
Alperen SengunAlperen Sengun LAL – – 21.3 14 – – 10.0 12 – – 5.8 4
Amen ThompsonAmen Thompson LAL 17.5 17.9 19.0 26 6.5 7.8 7.3 7 5.5 5.4 6.0 5
Anthony DavisAnthony Davis GSW 23.5 23.6 22.3 3 12.5 11.9 12.5 3 2.5 3.2 2.9 0
Anthony EdwardsAnthony Edwards DEN 29.5 29.0 27.1 44 4.5 5.5 5.5 6 4.5 4.9 4.6 3
Austin ReavesAustin Reaves HOU 19.5 17.3 21.7 12 3.5 3.6 4.8 1 4.5 4.7 5.3 1
Chet HolmgrenChet Holmgren SAS 15.5 18.4 17.9 10 7.5 8.6 – 12 1.5 2.1 – 2
Cooper FlaggCooper Flagg GSW 19.5 18.8 – 27 6.5 7.2 – 6 3.5 3.7 – 5
Darius GarlandDarius Garland NYK 20 18.4 21.4 20 3.5 2.6 3.3 1 7.5 6.2 7.7 10
De'Aaron FoxDe'Aaron Fox OKC 17.5 18.6 18.3 29 3.5 3.7 4.4 4 4.5 4.7 6.5 3
Dean WadeDean Wade NYK 5.5 5.6 9.7 6 3.5 3.8 5.0 4 1.5 1.6 2.4 2
Deandre AytonDeandre Ayton HOU 12.5 13.4 16.3 10 8.5 7.6 – 2 0.5 1.1 – 0
Devin VassellDevin Vassell OKC 13.5 14.7 17.8 5 3.5 3.7 5.4 4 2.5 2.6 3.3 2
Donovan MitchellDonovan Mitchell NYK 29.5 26.0 27.4 34 4.5 4.3 4.7 7 5.5 4.9 5.4 6
Donte DiVincenzoDonte DiVincenzo DEN 13.5 13.8 16.3 6 3.5 3.8 5.2 8 3.5 3.8 5.2 8
Draymond GreenDraymond Green DAL 8.5 8.7 13.0 7 6.5 6.9 6.8 5 5.5 5.4 4.1 3
Evan MobleyEvan Mobley NYK – – 19.4 14 – – 8.8 9 – – 3.9 3
Harrison BarnesHarrison Barnes OKC 9.5 10.5 15.3 15 3.5 3.1 4.5 6 1.5 1.6 2.4 1
Isaiah HartensteinIsaiah Hartenstein SAS 9.5 9.9 12.9 13 9.5 9.3 11.0 12 2.5 3.2 2.9 3
Jabari Smith Jr.Jabari Smith Jr. LAL 14.5 14.9 17.3 16 6.5 6.8 8.1 7 1.5 1.7 2.5 0
Jaden McDanielsJaden McDaniels DEN 14.5 13.8 17.0 21 4.5 4.7 5.6 4 2.5 2.3 3.0 4
Jalen BrunsonJalen Brunson CLE 28.5 29.3 28.4 34 3.5 3.6 4.1 1 6.5 7.4 7.0 4
Jalen WilliamsJalen Williams SAS 19.5 20.2 20.4 12 5.5 5.0 6.6 2 5.5 5.0 5.1 6
Jamal MurrayJamal Murray MIN 25.5 23.5 26.0 35 4.5 4.3 5.1 2 6.5 6.2 7.0 10
Jarrett AllenJarrett Allen NYK 13.5 14.2 13.8 7 8.5 8.8 – 8 1.5 2.0 – 2
Josh HartJosh Hart CLE 12.5 12.9 15.1 15 8.5 9.6 8.8 5 5.5 5.6 5.0 3
Josh OkogieJosh Okogie LAL 5.5 6.7 11.1 0 2.5 2.7 – 0 0.5 1.1 – 0
Julius RandleJulius Randle DEN 20.5 22.0 22.9 32 6.5 7.2 8.0 7 5.5 5.6 5.1 6
Karl-Anthony TownsKarl-Anthony Towns CLE 21.5 24.2 19.8 11 10.5 12.5 – 14 2.5 3.2 – 1
Kevin DurantKevin Durant LAL 25.5 26.0 25.7 25 4.5 5.2 6.6 4 4.5 4.3 4.4 8
LeBron JamesLeBron James HOU 19.5 22.8 21.1 18 5.5 6.3 6.6 2 6.5 7.3 6.0 5
Luguentz DortLuguentz Dort SAS 8.5 9.3 12.0 8 3.5 3.8 – 4 0.5 1.4 – 3
Luka DoncicLuka Doncic HOU 32.5 31.5 30.8 25 7.5 7.8 7.7 5 7.5 8.2 8.2 7
Luke KornetLuke Kornet OKC 5.5 5.4 10.6 6 5.5 4.6 8.2 4 1.5 1.3 2.0 1
Mikal BridgesMikal Bridges CLE 16.5 18.6 17.8 12 4.5 4.4 4.9 3 3.5 4.1 4.2 4
Moses MoodyMoses Moody DAL 9.5 10.0 13.2 12 2.5 3.2 – 2 1.5 1.3 – 2
Naji MarshallNaji Marshall GSW 12.5 14.3 15.6 14 5.5 5.8 5.1 4 2.5 3.2 3.2 0
Nikola JokicNikola Jokic MIN 29.5 28.4 27.3 56 11.5 12.7 11.5 16 10.5 9.7 8.7 15
OG AnunobyOG Anunoby CLE 17.5 17.6 17.1 8 4.5 5.3 6.3 2 1.5 2.2 2.9 2
P.J. WashingtonP.J. Washington GSW 13.5 13.2 17.5 14 6.5 6.7 – 10 1.5 1.9 – 2
Peyton WatsonPeyton Watson MIN 12.5 8.8 12.3 9 5.5 4.1 – 4 1.5 1.4 – 0
Quinten PostQuinten Post DAL 8.5 11.4 12.6 6 5.5 6.3 7.8 3 1.5 2.1 2.6 0
Rudy GobertRudy Gobert DEN 11.5 12.2 14.0 9 10.5 10.7 12.1 12 1.5 1.8 2.6 0
Rui HachimuraRui Hachimura HOU 10.5 13.1 15.0 0 3.5 3.9 – 2 0.5 1.1 – 1
Ryan NembhardRyan Nembhard GSW 8 13.5 – 4 2.5 2.8 – 1 6.5 7.8 – 2
Sam MerrillSam Merrill NYK 10.5 13.2 15.0 11 2.5 2.1 4.5 5 2.5 2.6 2.9 1
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderShai Gilgeous-Alexander SAS 31.5 31.6 30.2 22 4.5 4.9 5.1 6 6.5 6.4 6.9 4
Spencer JonesSpencer Jones MIN 6.5 5.5 9.3 12 3.5 2.5 – 8 1.5 0.9 – 1
Stephen CurryStephen Curry DAL 29.5 26.7 28.8 23 4.5 4.9 5.8 3 4.5 5.1 6.5 4
Stephon CastleStephon Castle OKC 16.5 15.9 19.4 19 5.5 4.6 4.9 4 5.5 4.8 5.8 7
Tim Hardaway Jr.Tim Hardaway Jr. MIN – – – 19 – – – 4 – – – 0
Victor WembanyamaVictor Wembanyama OKC 18.5 16.4 19.1 19 9.5 7.9 11.0 11 2.5 2.4 3.4 2

V1 and V2 are the two NBA House models; the official pick uses the highlighted one. Final is green when it went over the line.