LeBron James has averaged 31.5 points per game in 17 games against Stephen Curry since 2021-22, 4.6 points above his usual 26.9 in those seasons.
Fair odds = the price where this hit rate breaks even, with no bookmaker margin. A better price than this is value, if the sample holds.
| Date | Opp | Result | Curry P-R-A | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 25 | vs GSW | L 116-123 | 37-3-6 | 40 | 33 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10-15 | 5-8 | 8-9 |
| 6 Feb 25 | vs GSW | W 120-112 | 37-7-4 | 38 | 42 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14-25 | 6-9 | 8-10 |
| 25 Jan 25 | @ GSW | W 118-108 | 13-1-9 | 35 | 25 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12-25 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| 25 Dec 24 | @ GSW | W 115-113 | 38-1-6 | 37 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12-22 | 2-4 | 5-5 |
| 9 Apr 24 | vs GSW | L 120-134 | 23-7-8 | 36 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14-22 | 1-3 | 4-5 |
| 16 Mar 24 | vs GSW | L 121-128 | 31-6-5 | 38 | 40 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15-23 | 3-5 | 7-8 |
| 27 Jan 24 | @ GSW | W 145-144 | 46-3-7 | 48 | 36 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14-25 | 2-4 | 6-6 |
| 12 May 23 PO | vs GSW | W 122-101 | 32-6-5 | 43 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 8-11 |
| 10 May 23 PO | @ GSW | L 106-121 | 27-3-8 | 39 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 |
| 8 May 23 PO | vs GSW | W 104-101 | 31-10-14 | 43 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10-25 | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| 6 May 23 PO | vs GSW | W 127-97 | 23-4-3 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 7-8 |
| 4 May 23 PO | @ GSW | L 100-127 | 20-4-12 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| 2 May 23 PO | @ GSW | W 117-112 | 27-6-3 | 40 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9-24 | 1-8 | 3-4 |
| 18 Oct 22 | @ GSW | L 109-123 | 33-6-7 | 35 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12-26 | 3-10 | 4-4 |
| 5 Mar 22 | vs GSW | W 124-116 | 30-4-1 | 39 | 56 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19-31 | 6-11 | 12-13 |
| 12 Feb 22 | @ GSW | L 115-117 | 24-5-8 | 38 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9-27 | 3-10 | 5-9 |
| 19 Oct 21 | vs GSW | L 114-121 | 21-10-10 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13-23 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Average | 17 games | 9-8 | 29-5.1-6.8 | 38 | 31.5 | 10 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 53.1% | 42.6% | 82.6% |
| James | James usual | +/- | Curry | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 281 | 17 | |
| Team record | 9-8 | 152-129 | 8-9 | |
| Points | 31.5 | 26.9 | +4.6 | 29 |
| Rebounds | 10 | 8.0 | +2.0 | 5.1 |
| Assists | 7.5 | 7.4 | +0.1 | 6.8 |
| Threes | 2.9 | 2.2 | +0.6 | 4.2 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.2 | −0.3 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 3.4 | −0.4 | 3.1 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 49 | 42.3 | +6.7 | 40.9 |
| FG% | 53.1% | 51.8% | +1.3 | 44.8% |
| 3P% | 42.6% | 36.0% | +6.6 | 36.5% |
| Minutes | 38 | 36.1 | 35.9 |
A game counts when both played, on opposite teams. Regular season and playoffs since 2018-19.
Regular season and playoff games from official box scores. Season-long numbers are regular season unless you ask for the playoffs.