NBA title odds
The Celtics are the favourites: they win the title in 26% of our simulations, ahead of the Spurs (16%) and the Timberwolves (12%).
Title chances
| # | Team | W-L | Proj. W | Playoffs | Play-in | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 9-2 | 9.6 | 100% | 0% | 26% |
| 2 |  Spurs | 9-2 | 9.8 | 100% | 0% | 16% |
| 3 |  Timberwolves | 8-3 | 8.7 | 100% | 0% | 12% |
| 4 |  Pistons | 7-3 | 7.6 | 100% | 0% | 8% |
| 5 |  Knicks | 6-4 | 6.7 | 100% | 0% | 8% |
| 6 |  Lakers | 10-2 | 10.8 | 100% | 0% | 7% |
| 7 |  Warriors | 8-3 | 8.4 | 100% | 0% | 7% |
| 8 |  Rockets | 8-3 | 8.6 | 100% | 0% | 6% |
| 9 |  Grizzlies | 7-3 | 7.6 | 85% | 62% | 2% |
| 10 |  Trail Blazers | 7-3 | 7.6 | 78% | 80% | 2% |
| 11 |  Raptors | 5-5 | 5.9 | 99% | 13% | 2% |
| 12 |  Thunder | 8-3 | 8.4 | 87% | 58% | 2% |
The rest of the regular season played out 5,000 times from each team's point differential, with the play-in and the playoffs: chances, not certainties.
Keep digging
Regular season and playoff games from official box scores. Season-long numbers are regular season unless you ask for the playoffs.