Model status
Every week, how the model's picks did: wins and losses, against the 52.4% that breaks even at standard prices. Every pick was published before the games and graded against the box score. The whole record.
68.7%
of 323 picks won · 222–101
Above the 52.4% that breaks even at standard prices.
+100.8
Units at −110
+31.2%
Return
517–283
Since Tue 20 Oct
64.6%
Week by week
Win rate; the line is the break-evenIs the confidence honest?
The chartThe confidence holds up: picks win about as often as the model says.
Since Tue 20 Oct: picks grouped by the chance the model gave them, against how often each group won. This week alone: cautious by 6.7 points, on 315 picks.
| By stat | W–L | Won | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 38–7 | 84.4% | +27.5 |
| Rebounds | 85–31 | 73.3% | +46.3 |
| Assists | 99–63 | 61.1% | +27.0 |
| Strong picks | 18–4 | 81.8% | +12.4 |
| Solid picks | 68–17 | 80.0% | +44.8 |
| Lean picks | 136–80 | 63.0% | +43.6 |
| Overs | 64–22 | 74.4% | +36.2 |
| Unders | 158–79 | 66.7% | +64.6 |
Best calls
The widest wins
Lauri MarkkanenUnder 22.5 PTS · Mon 26 Oct
2
Yaxel LendeborgOver 14.5 PTS · Mon 26 Oct
31
LaMelo BallUnder 21.5 PTS · Wed 28 Oct
8
Worst misses
The widest losses, in public too
De'Andre HunterUnder 11.5 PTS · Thu 29 Oct
24
Isaiah HartensteinUnder 9.5 REB · Wed 28 Oct
14
Jared McCainUnder 13.5 PTS · Mon 26 Oct
18
The automated bankrolls this week
All bankrollsVirtual bankrolls that bet the model's picks by themselves, before the games. Past results are no promise.