Model status
Every week, how the model's picks did: wins and losses, against the 52.4% that breaks even at standard prices. Every pick was published before the games and graded against the box score. The whole record.
69.2%
of 292 picks won · 202–90
Above the 52.4% that breaks even at standard prices.
+93.6
Units at −110
+32.1%
Return
719–373
Since Tue 20 Oct
65.8%
Week by week
Win rate; the line is the break-evenIs the confidence honest?
The chartThe confidence holds up: picks win about as often as the model says.
Since Tue 20 Oct: picks grouped by the chance the model gave them, against how often each group won. This week alone: cautious by 9.3 points, on 292 picks.
| By stat | W–L | Won | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 36–9 | 80.0% | +23.7 |
| Rebounds | 59–26 | 69.4% | +27.6 |
| Assists | 107–55 | 66.0% | +42.3 |
| Strong picks | 21–4 | 84.0% | +15.1 |
| Solid picks | 49–18 | 73.1% | +26.5 |
| Lean picks | 132–68 | 66.0% | +52.0 |
| Overs | 70–17 | 80.5% | +46.6 |
| Unders | 132–73 | 64.4% | +47.0 |
Best calls
The widest wins
Kyshawn GeorgeOver 16.5 PTS · Fri 6 Nov
33
Keyonte GeorgeUnder 20.5 PTS · Mon 2 Nov
7
Jarrett AllenUnder 13.5 PTS · Wed 4 Nov
0
Worst misses
The widest losses, in public too
Klay ThompsonUnder 9.5 PTS · Wed 4 Nov
30
Franz WagnerUnder 24.5 PTS · Sat 7 Nov
30
Deni AvdijaUnder 5.5 AST · Fri 6 Nov
11
The automated bankrolls this week
All bankrollsVirtual bankrolls that bet the model's picks by themselves, before the games. Past results are no promise.